Modeling & Decision Support

2017-2018 Projects

Click on each title below for project details

Implementation of a Forest Value-Predicting Model

FPInnovations has developed a new model for predicting the value of forest stands. Called NCCruise, this model combines standard cruising with a forestry company’s own sort descriptions to generate improved predictions of the volume distribution in a stand by species and grade. This model assists in evaluating the economic operability of stands under current and future projected market conditions, enhancing a forestry company’s decision-making process with respect to harvest planning, optimization of product combinations, and future investment planning.

The model has been prototyped and validated on several case studies, and the next step in its development is to explore its commercial potential.

  • Accelerate the uptake of the NCCruise technology by FPInnovations member companies.
  • Identify a supplier partner that would be interested and capable of commercializing the technology.

Wood Yard Optimization and Analysis

While forest operations and manufacturing have seen much improvement from the application of optimization and automation technologies, wood yard operations are lagging behind. There is uncertainty and risk associated with poor log yard management, which can result in inefficiencies and losses in log value and volume, and, consequently, in profit.

  • Develop methods for management of wood yard inventory storage and mill infeed decisions for the optimal log diet supplied to the mill.
  • Investigate methods for log inventory management from truck unloading, storage, and reclaiming to the mill.
  • Develop or adapt tools to optimize mill yard performance, including pile location management, inventories, and flows.
  • Identify the best practices in yards (e.g., operations, layout, and machine complement and utilization), analyze and evaluate the missed opportunities (i.e., the cost of not applying best practices), and develop benchmarking guidelines for Canadian wood yards.
  • Develop a comprehensive toolbox of methods for wood yard analysis, focusing on different components within the yard, including machine utilization, improved yard organization and layout, optimal fleet complement (i.e., capacity, type, and number of machines), cycle time of trucks in yard, and yard surfacing and infrastructure (pavement, roads).